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Starbucks Raises Its Full-Year Forecast — and Brings Back the Pumpkin Spice Latte on Aug. 25

CEO Brian Niccol's 'Back to Starbucks' turnaround has now delivered four straight quarters of comparable sales growth, and the fall menu launch is the next test of whether demand holds.
AUG 4, 2026
Photo: Imagen ilustrativa

Starbucks announced Monday that its Pumpkin Spice Latte returns to store menus on August 25, kicking off a broader fall rollout that includes new drinks, food items, and limited-time merchandise.

The returning lineup includes the Pumpkin Cream Cold Brew, Iced Pumpkin Cream Chai, and Pumpkin Spice Frappuccino. New additions this season: the Iced Pumpkin Cream Shaken Espresso, Pumpkin Spice Chai, Iced Pumpkin Cream Matcha, an iced banana bread-flavored latte, an iced banana bread chai, and the Chaider — a chai-and-cider-inspired blend.

On the food side, a new Chicken Bacon Protein Pocket packing 20 grams of protein joins the menu, alongside a Hedgehog Cake Pop. Starbucks is also releasing a PSL Society drinkware and hat collection as limited-time merchandise.

The seasonal announcement landed one week after the company reported third-quarter results and raised its annual sales and profit forecasts for the second time. Starbucks now projects global same-store sales growth of near 6%, up from its prior forecast of about 5% or above. Adjusted earnings per share guidance moved to $2.55–$2.65, compared with the previous range of $2.25–$2.45.

CEO Brian Niccol, whose turnaround plan is branded 'Back to Starbucks,' credited a simplified menu and shorter wait times for fueling the growth streak. 'We have more work to do,' Niccol said in a statement. Finance chief Cathy Smith said the company remains focused on what it can control amid a 'dynamic operating environment.'

Consumer Edge analyst Michael Gunther noted that 'Starbucks has begun to experience market share stabilization in recent months, most notably with younger diners.' He added: 'Consumers may be shifting dining dollars toward in-home eating but are leaving room in the budget for daily drink habits.'

The turnaround has not been cost-free. The Back to Starbucks strategy involved heavy investments in staffing and store operations, which the company has offset through layoffs, office consolidation, and operational streamlining.

The bottom line for founders: Niccol's playbook is a clean case study in trading short-term margin compression for long-term customer loyalty. He simplified the product, invested in speed, cut the bloat elsewhere, and let the numbers follow. Four consecutive quarters of comparable sales growth — and two upward forecast revisions in a single year — suggest the bet is paying off. If your own turnaround involves spending before saving, the sequencing matters: fix the customer experience first, then harvest the cost efficiencies. Starbucks did it in that order, and the math is starting to show.

RO
Rachel Otis
Grow Columnist

Rachel Otis covers growth: sales, marketing, pricing and the strategy calls that turn a small business into a bigger one.

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